The old supply and demand scenario. A growing population is no guarantee of property prices increasing. It just isn't that simple. There are many factors involved, and some of them are not predictable. A demand for housing is not enough on its own. Buyers have to have money, and you need a lot of buyers with a lot of money, to keep prices high.
There is a massive demand for houses in the UK, yet prices are tumbling.
You're suggesting the same cycles we've seen in the past will just keep repeating themselves, over and over. Show me where that has been the case over the last 2000 years? The world has never worked that way, nor is it ever likely to.
Times change, they always have and always will.
Even now we are seeing signs of significant change in Jersey, e.g. a shared equity scheme for first time buyers. Never have we seen that before in Jersey. Even our banking friends are struggling to raise the cash for a house! What does that tell us?
The
UK tax payer Gordon Brown is buying a stake in the major banks. That looks like a very worrying sign to Jersey banks, given his dislike of off-shore banking. I wonder how many employees of RBS Jersey will be pleased to know that Brown is effectively to become one of their Cheifs?
If there are no banks in Jersey, in 10 years time, houses will plumet in value and stay there.
Anyone up for taking bets on this one, we could start-short selling on Jersey houses?
